“All Teslas will achieve full self-driving capability by 2020.”
The promise
Musk predicted full self-driving by 2020. As of 2025, Tesla’s FSD still requires driver supervision and is not legally autonomous.
Full Self-Driving on all Teslas by 2020
Elon Musk ↗ Community voting
Two questions. Your perspective.
You can support an idea without trusting the public figure to deliver it. Vote on either question, or both. No account or email is needed.
Want to vote? Cookie settings: either choice lets you vote. You can always browse and read results.
Your opinion on the idea
Do you support this promise?
Would you like this promise to happen? Support, Oppose, or choose Undecided. This question does not change the Trust Index.
Support27% · 3
Oppose55% · 6
Undecided18% · 2
Your confidence in delivery
Do you trust them to deliver?
Do you believe this public figure will follow through? Choose Yes, No, or Unsure. Yes and No votes shape the Trust Index.
Yes28% · 8
No72% · 21
Unsure0% · 0
How your vote counts
- One answer per question, per promise
- Your browser remembers your vote. Choosing another answer replaces the previous one instead of adding an extra vote. You can vote on other promises too.
- Trust Index = Yes ÷ (Yes + No) × 100
- A promise's confidence score uses its Yes and No votes. A public figure's score pools those votes across all their promises. Unsure is shown in the results but excluded from the score. With no Yes or No votes, the score is N/A.
- A simple example
- With 6 Yes, 4 No, and 2 Unsure votes, confidence is 60%: 6 ÷ 10. The result bars include all 12 votes, so the Yes bar shows 50%. Support and Oppose votes never enter this calculation.
- Community confidence, open to change
- These scores reflect participating visitors' opinions, not verified delivery or a representative poll. Votes stay open. Read the sources and update your answer as your view changes. Check the vote count alongside the percentage: a score based on a few votes can change quickly.
- No account required
- A cookie remembers this browser; your answers are stored on our server and linked to it. No account is required. Browser and network rate limits reduce repeated submissions, but cannot verify one person per vote. Clearing cookies or switching browsers loses recognition. Read the cookie details ↗
The wider record
More from Elon Musk.
0% · Low confidence
Reduce personal and corporate political spending
“I’ll be spending a lot less on politics.”
36.7% · Low confidence
Produce $25,000 affordable electric car
“We are confident that a $25,000 Tesla will be a reality.”
45.5% · Medium confidence
Launch Tesla Optimus humanoid robot for commercial use
“Optimus will be worth more than the car business, more than FSD.”
11.1% · Low confidence
Release second-generation Tesla Roadster
“This is the fastest production car ever made, period.”
32% · Low confidence
Deliver next-generation Tesla vehicle platform
“We’re working on the next-gen platform that will cost half as much to build.”
50% · Medium confidence
Avoid development of lethal autonomous weapons
“We must ensure AI is used for good—not automated killing.”
Also on the radar.
JD Vance
Vice President of the United States
20.2% community trust · 208 votes
Donald Trump
47th president of the United States
26.9% community trust · 4465 votes
Ron DeSantis
Governor of Florida
40% community trust · 160 votes
Joe Biden
46th president of the United States
80.1% community trust · 271 votes
Pete Hegseth
29th United States Secretary of Defense
15.5% community trust · 110 votes
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
United States Secretary of Health
24.9% community trust · 253 votes