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Predict short-term government shutdown
“This will be short — a few days, not weeks.”
Promise broken Promise Date: 29 Sep 2025 Promise Deadline: Indefinite
Promise Details

When Congress failed to pass the budget in fall 2025, Vance predicted the government shutdown would be brief, saying a resolution was near. The shutdown ultimately lasted longer than expected, extending two weeks beyond his forecast. Although his optimism reduced panic, the prediction proved inaccurate.

Why it is broken

Shutdown lasted over two weeks rather than “a few days” as predicted; forecast inaccurate.

Sources

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