“We will send humans to Mars by 2024.”
The promise
Musk announced plans to send humans to Mars by 2024. As of 2025, SpaceX has conducted Starship tests, but no crewed mission has occurred.
Send humans to Mars by 2024
Elon Musk ↗ Community voting
Two questions. Your perspective.
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Your opinion on the idea
Do you support this promise?
Would you like this promise to happen? Support, Oppose, or choose Undecided. This question does not change the Trust Index.
Support6% · 1
Oppose75% · 12
Undecided19% · 3
Your confidence in delivery
Do you trust them to deliver?
Do you believe this public figure will follow through? Choose Yes, No, or Unsure. Yes and No votes shape the Trust Index.
Yes20% · 1
No80% · 4
Unsure0% · 0
How your vote counts
- One answer per question, per promise
- Your browser remembers your vote. Choosing another answer replaces the previous one instead of adding an extra vote. You can vote on other promises too.
- Trust Index = Yes ÷ (Yes + No) × 100
- A promise's confidence score uses its Yes and No votes. A public figure's score pools those votes across all their promises. Unsure is shown in the results but excluded from the score. With no Yes or No votes, the score is N/A.
- A simple example
- With 6 Yes, 4 No, and 2 Unsure votes, confidence is 60%: 6 ÷ 10. The result bars include all 12 votes, so the Yes bar shows 50%. Support and Oppose votes never enter this calculation.
- Community confidence, open to change
- These scores reflect participating visitors' opinions, not verified delivery or a representative poll. Votes stay open. Read the sources and update your answer as your view changes. Check the vote count alongside the percentage: a score based on a few votes can change quickly.
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The wider record
More from Elon Musk.
50% · Medium confidence
Create Grokipedia — AI-powered encyclopedia on X platform
“Grokipedia will redefine how people learn and verify information.”
27.6% · Low confidence
Full Self-Driving on all Teslas by 2020
“All Teslas will achieve full self-driving capability by 2020.”
45.5% · Medium confidence
Launch Tesla Optimus humanoid robot for commercial use
“Optimus will be worth more than the car business, more than FSD.”
11.1% · Low confidence
Release second-generation Tesla Roadster
“This is the fastest production car ever made, period.”
36.7% · Low confidence
Produce $25,000 affordable electric car
“We are confident that a $25,000 Tesla will be a reality.”
0% · Low confidence
Reduce personal and corporate political spending
“I’ll be spending a lot less on politics.”
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